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Últimas encuestas


Los encuestadores están prohibidas de publicar encuestas una semana antes de las elecciones generales. Pero estas empresas pueden publicar resultados de simulacros o encuestas en la prensa internacional como Reuters y French Press. Y los últimos estudios publicados por IPSOS y Datum en Reuters nos da una vista panorama a dos días de las elecciones generales.
*Reuters solamente publica los tres primeros lugares.

Los resultados del simulacro realizado 6 de abril del 2016  (IPSOS: Votos emitidos):
  1.  Keiko Fujimori (31.5%)
  2. PPK (17%)
  3. Verónica Mendoza (16.8%)

Los resultados del simulacro de seugnda vuelta realizado 6 de abril del 2016 (IPSOS: Votos emitidos):
  •  PPK (45%) vs. Keiko Fujimori (38%)
  • Keiko (43%) vs. Mendoza (42%)

Los resultados del simulacro realizado 6 de abril del 2016  (Datum: Votos emitidos):
  1.  Keiko Fujimori (35.4%)
  2. Veronica Mendoza (15.3%)
  3. PPK (14.8%)

Las diferencias de términos técnicos de las encuestas y simulacros:
  • Votos emitidos son los resultados de todos los votos: validos, blanco o nulos. 
  • Votos válidos son los votos contabilizados que no incluyen los votos en blanco y nulos.
  • Un simulacro es cuando la muestra recibí una célula de votación parecida a la que todos los peruanos ven el 10 de abril en donde tienen que marcar una opción. 
  • Una encuesta es realizada sin una célula de votación.

(Fuentes: Reuters)


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